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Prediction for CME (2021-08-23T06:36:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2021-08-23T06:36Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/17559/-1
CME Note: The CME is a partial halo in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and is in the NW of STA COR2A. The source is a filament eruption north of disk center seen at 02:00Z in SDO AIA 171/193/304. The L1 arrival signature seen by DSCOVR is characterized by a simultaneous jump in SW density, magnetic field and speed (from 360 to 420 km/s), as well as rotation of magnetic field components.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2021-08-27T00:25Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2021-08-26T11:13Z (-12.0h, +12.0h)
Prediction Method: EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)
Prediction Method Note: 
Utilizing the upgraded version EAM_v3 [Paouris et al. 2021]

% Compiled module: EAM_V3.
******************************************************************************
Most pr. speed = 393.0 km/s 
The EAM version you are running is: v3
u_r =      258.999
Acceleration:       2.05596
Duration in seconds:        275875.04
Duration in days:        3.1929982
t2 is negative
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Acceleration of the CME:   2.06 m/s^2
Velocity of the CME at 1 AU:  826.2 km/s
Expected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 26/08/2021 Time: 11:13 UT
Lead Time: 65.25 hour(s)
Difference: 13.20 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Evangelos Paouris (JHUAPL) on 2021-08-24T07:10Z
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